{"schemaVersion":1,"source":"Yahoo Finance price/volume; Trend Screeners model-book calculations","sourceUrl":"https://finance.yahoo.com/","generated":"2026-07-29","calculation":"advance = (peakPrice / pivot - 1) * 100; percentages rounded in article","limitations":"Retrospectively selected historical case, not a strategy success rate or realized investment return. Weekly chart data only; daily/hourly trade-simulation inputs are not included.","case":{"slug":"model-vistra-2023","sym":"VST","name":"Vistra","market":"US","bench":"S&P 500","baseStart":"2023-03-06","baseEnd":"2023-07-10","baseLen":19,"baseDepth":19.2,"baseLow":22.05,"baseLowDate":"2023-03-06","pivot":27.29,"breakout":"2023-07-17","breakoutClose":28.36,"volSurge":-17,"peak":"2025-01-20","peakPrice":199.84,"advance":632.3,"weeks":79,"shakeout":34.9,"shakeFrom":"2024-05-20","shakeTo":"2024-08-05","ongoing":false},"weeklyColumns":["date","open","high","low","close","volume"],"weekly":[["2022-03-07",22.67,23.485,22.28,22.43,23020600],["2022-03-14",22.37,22.725,21.91,22.41,19377000],["2022-03-21",22.32,22.795,21.78,22.74,15219100],["2022-03-28",22.76,23.605,22.68,23.44,21280600],["2022-04-04",23.4,24.59,23.14,24.51,29622500],["2022-04-11",24.52,24.65,23.66,24.03,20486800],["2022-04-18",24,26.63,23.915,25.35,30366300],["2022-04-25",25.3,25.485,24.58,25.02,23129900],["2022-05-02",25,27.1,24.18,26.62,28911600],["2022-05-09",26.43,26.43,22.885,24.58,37114200],["2022-05-16",24.53,26.46,24.39,25.23,31183700],["2022-05-23",25.41,26.455,25.14,26.31,24581200],["2022-05-30",26.5,26.686,25.272,25.85,19617500],["2022-06-06",25.99,27.39,25.43,25.44,23462200],["2022-06-13",25,25.04,21.84,22.42,44512300],["2022-06-20",22.98,23.6,22.31,23.39,27048700],["2022-06-27",23.39,24.055,22.39,23.35,22197900],["2022-07-04",22.97,23.14,20.995,22.08,17765300],["2022-07-11",22.02,23.07,21.79,22.58,20419100],["2022-07-18",22.74,23.735,22.67,23,20532600],["2022-07-25",23.04,25.86,22.78,25.85,22265000],["2022-08-01",25.7,25.9,24.31,24.6,16671800],["2022-08-08",24.75,25.91,24.32,25.88,16644500],["2022-08-15",25.65,26.12,25.14,25.25,17618700],["2022-08-22",24.9,25.97,24.37,24.93,18970900],["2022-08-29",24.59,25.52,24.005,24.96,21317600],["2022-09-05",24.88,25.455,24.295,25.25,16242400],["2022-09-12",25.33,25.845,24.87,25.31,23278000],["2022-09-19",25.04,25.81,23.1,23.37,16875200],["2022-09-26",23.11,23.34,20.92,21,25030800],["2022-10-03",21.37,23.14,21.035,21.97,22027200],["2022-10-10",22,22.375,20.762,21.42,20899000],["2022-10-17",21.95,22.63,21.12,21.75,18173200],["2022-10-24",21.8,23,21.45,22.98,20155800],["2022-10-31",22.93,23.87,22.43,22.85,23364000],["2022-11-07",22.95,24.99,22.75,24.09,19302600],["2022-11-14",23.89,24.08,22.39,22.91,17318000],["2022-11-21",22.86,24.4,22.51,24.08,7706200],["2022-11-28",23.76,24.82,23.54,23.99,18232200],["2022-12-05",23.78,24.045,23.16,23.86,15139500],["2022-12-12",23.98,25.03,23.68,24.07,20037300],["2022-12-19",24.05,24.285,23.31,23.87,16191700],["2022-12-26",23.82,24.18,22.844,23.2,12940400],["2023-01-02",23.24,23.35,22.01,22.51,13534000],["2023-01-09",22.63,23.095,22.135,22.38,14303600],["2023-01-16",22.42,22.77,21.25,21.85,14448400],["2023-01-23",21.78,22.91,21.76,22.67,11574400],["2023-01-30",22.6,23.865,22.32,22.88,15225000],["2023-02-06",22.84,23.31,22.62,23.04,11997900],["2023-02-13",23.03,23.49,22.55,22.96,15631000],["2023-02-20",22.77,22.92,22.17,22.36,10490200],["2023-02-27",22.6,22.8,21.18,21.41,20571300],["2023-03-06",22.05,27.29,22.05,24.52,49611700],["2023-03-13",24.38,25.705,23.9,24.84,30749300],["2023-03-20",25.1,25.675,23.04,23.42,19140300],["2023-03-27",23.49,24,23.1,24,14863900],["2023-04-03",23.88,24.295,23.19,24.07,11363200],["2023-04-10",23.83,25.12,23.8,24.49,15290100],["2023-04-17",24.53,24.53,23.46,23.7,12243600],["2023-04-24",23.79,23.96,22.95,23.86,16160300],["2023-05-01",23.86,24.12,22.67,23.42,13076300],["2023-05-08",23.45,25.71,23.235,24.52,24208700],["2023-05-15",24.5,24.945,24.01,24.51,14978200],["2023-05-22",24.45,24.97,23.85,24.45,12659100],["2023-05-29",24.53,25.03,23.535,24.72,15414500],["2023-06-05",24.57,25.23,24.56,24.82,12216700],["2023-06-12",24.81,25.46,24.596,25.06,23061000],["2023-06-19",24.95,25.53,24.7,25.1,18415700],["2023-06-26",25.48,26.395,25.44,26.25,16046800],["2023-07-03",26.16,27.07,25.88,26.7,9710600],["2023-07-10",26.7,26.93,26.26,26.34,8561100],["2023-07-17",26.2,28.52,26.055,28.36,14403900],["2023-07-24",28.36,28.545,27.58,27.72,11451000],["2023-07-31",28,28.85,27.542,28.54,16079000],["2023-08-07",28.67,30.985,28.39,30.14,25700900],["2023-08-14",30.04,30.445,29.47,29.86,17459800],["2023-08-21",29.95,30.47,29.48,30.12,18613700],["2023-08-28",30.13,31.99,29.84,31.79,20896400],["2023-09-04",32.6,34.165,31.975,34.06,30218700],["2023-09-11",34.07,34.285,32.79,32.91,78071900],["2023-09-18",32.89,33.78,32.26,33.22,24230000],["2023-09-25",33.04,33.94,32.83,33.18,22686400],["2023-10-02",33.38,33.74,31.16,31.54,27134200],["2023-10-09",31.57,33.02,31.4,31.64,22858300],["2023-10-16",31.98,32.84,31.74,31.93,16784400],["2023-10-23",31.68,33.44,31.43,32.02,14504100],["2023-10-30",32.17,35.305,32.17,34.99,16643000],["2023-11-06",35.15,36.5,33.84,34.48,21857100],["2023-11-13",34.48,35.31,34.235,34.86,18693100],["2023-11-20",34.86,35.07,34.25,34.86,13048800],["2023-11-27",34.89,36.28,34.7,36.28,20926700],["2023-12-04",36.04,37.72,35.99,36.96,21285700],["2023-12-11",37,38.34,36.475,37.68,30371900],["2023-12-18",37.68,38.16,37.38,38.02,14705500],["2023-12-25",37.96,38.9,37.88,38.52,7791300],["2024-01-01",38.29,39.035,37.77,38.59,11601800],["2024-01-08",38.66,39.765,38.08,39.22,15691000],["2024-01-15",38.95,40.17,38.95,40.17,11517700],["2024-01-22",40.25,40.86,39.135,40.78,11638600],["2024-01-29",40.79,44.96,40.54,44.55,19117300],["2024-02-05",44.04,44.15,42.61,43.23,18556000],["2024-02-12",43.21,46.31,42.225,45.58,20373000],["2024-02-19",45.66,48.77,45.52,48.62,20341300],["2024-02-26",48.98,55.98,48.22,54.5,38828400],["2024-03-04",55.28,62.12,55.28,60.49,38026500],["2024-03-11",60.24,63.22,57.5,61.56,34009500],["2024-03-18",61.95,69.27,60.86,69.09,31602500],["2024-03-25",69.5,73.05,67.415,69.65,25645500],["2024-04-01",70,75.89,69.21,75.33,29453700],["2024-04-08",74.96,75.6,67.6,69.74,29350500],["2024-04-15",70.83,72.48,64.26,65.66,30957300],["2024-04-22",66.13,73.55,65.32,72.7,22402000],["2024-04-29",73.31,83.03,72.98,81.49,29729400],["2024-05-06",82.31,96.07,80.1,93.42,127876900],["2024-05-13",94.53,97.9,87.921,94.08,33076700],["2024-05-20",94.95,104.12,90.85,102.1,34868100],["2024-05-27",105.27,107.24,95.41,99.08,34428300],["2024-06-03",99.87,99.87,83.01,85.07,50971000],["2024-06-10",84.55,94.5,84.517,87.59,36780400],["2024-06-17",87.59,89.95,82.33,86.86,41008000],["2024-06-24",86.23,91.36,83.34,85.98,44019700],["2024-07-01",88.74,93.47,86.3,89.36,18611900],["2024-07-08",89.95,96,86.8,91.33,26304700],["2024-07-15",90.37,90.46,73.75,76.47,39189100],["2024-07-22",77.28,81.27,69.02,71.12,34041900],["2024-07-29",71.95,82.88,68.74,72.43,42155200],["2024-08-05",66.82,80.46,66.5,78.64,38443700],["2024-08-12",78.99,81.93,75.09,79.35,26836200],["2024-08-19",79.5,86.195,78.41,85.77,22826600],["2024-08-26",86.31,87.89,82.23,85.43,20070300],["2024-09-02",85,85.035,73.14,73.7,24239000],["2024-09-09",75,85.96,72.9,85.55,22692600],["2024-09-16",85,108.26,84.92,107.88,50133000],["2024-09-23",110.35,122.01,107.04,117.72,61327000],["2024-09-30",117.88,139.38,114.84,138.41,49842900],["2024-10-07",139.86,143.865,114.5,125.29,51194600],["2024-10-14",127.77,139.48,125.37,131.16,44495300],["2024-10-21",131.58,133.43,123.1,124.03,21737300],["2024-10-28",125.21,128.62,119.09,119.51,24171500],["2024-11-04",117.69,144.77,111.5,141.9,49296200],["2024-11-11",146.28,149.8,137.034,142.15,23820600],["2024-11-18",142.72,168.67,142.72,161.92,31424900],["2024-11-25",166,166.38,152.715,159.84,20300600],["2024-12-02",161.6,164.86,153.535,159.98,20844400],["2024-12-09",160.17,160.71,139.3,144.89,27882600],["2024-12-16",144.71,147.22,131.64,139.95,32256600],["2024-12-23",140,144.88,135.62,139.68,9656800],["2024-12-30",136.05,162.66,134.86,162.36,22624400],["2025-01-06",165.16,169.19,152.61,166.73,29607700],["2025-01-13",161.71,178.4,156.31,170.86,35628300],["2025-01-20",179.3,199.84,174.85,191.11,35165100],["2025-01-27",154.09,176.49,132.59,168.03,97805500],["2025-02-03",157.5,176.36,156.28,166.9,34902600],["2025-02-10",169,172.7,161.07,167.66,28525800],["2025-02-17",168.87,173.32,147.8,150.44,29286300],["2025-02-24",151.2,152.94,124.05,133.66,62332100],["2025-03-03",133.66,134.28,109.55,114.32,56884400],["2025-03-10",110,127.83,104.34,124.46,51831400],["2025-03-17",123.6,133.25,122.28,130.58,30005300],["2025-03-24",134.98,138.74,117.46,119.05,36913100],["2025-03-31",113.9,127.606,92.12,98.07,51971700],["2025-04-07",92.66,120.96,90.51,111.71,52412100],["2025-04-14",117.31,120.18,110.51,115.42,20096600],["2025-04-21",112.52,128.24,103.338,126.64,27812800],["2025-04-28",126.25,141.108,122.3,139.28,29876800],["2025-05-05",136.59,146.88,133.73,135.75,41776200],["2025-05-12",145.4,157.48,143.01,156.62,33022200],["2025-05-19",150.375,159.43,149.586,158.16,24513300],["2025-05-26",160,166,157.07,160.57,21069800],["2025-06-02",160.6,178.35,160.59,173.62,28522400],["2025-06-09",173.67,175.95,160.18,173.75,25515500],["2025-06-16",175.57,185.5,175.215,185.1,20525400],["2025-06-23",184.24,198.2,179.94,195.04,27397800],["2025-06-30",197.5,197.5,180.51,192.2,17486900],["2025-07-07",191,200.25,184.82,196.58,24393800],["2025-07-14",196.55,197.67,180.252,193.01,25023000],["2025-07-21",193.64,207.12,181.73,192.2,27764200],["2025-07-28",193.11,213.048,190.51,208.05,24351500],["2025-08-04",210.55,216.85,190,202.12,29596600],["2025-08-11",203.6,213.19,194.81,197.33,18892200],["2025-08-18",197,199.4,183.85,190.46,17950700],["2025-08-25",191.54,201.38,186.68,189.11,16194900],["2025-09-01",184.55,192.11,178.43,188,15021400],["2025-09-08",189.59,212.88,184.61,209.7,26554700],["2025-09-15",209.7,217.9,204.67,211.28,24825200],["2025-09-22",211,219.82,196.01,207.22,22547900],["2025-09-29",202,210.2,190.7,201.99,29121100],["2025-10-06",206.16,212.37,195.885,196.86,20775900],["2025-10-13",201.12,217.1,200.05,201.35,19935900],["2025-10-20",204.13,205.5,179.65,201.47,23005700],["2025-10-27",203.66,203.66,183.52,188.3,28125600],["2025-11-03",190.81,195.19,176.6,191,23285900],["2025-11-10",194.8,196.8,165.58,174.69,24020200],["2025-11-17",175.43,189.29,162.44,168.59,20347400],["2025-11-24",169.57,180.77,165.9,178.86,14462200],["2025-12-01",176.01,178.05,166.47,167.17,16705800],["2025-12-08",167.82,180,158.65,170.1,26015100],["2025-12-15",172.96,175.14,158.7,163.03,30174700],["2025-12-22",164,164.31,159.77,161.67,11810900],["2025-12-29",161,169.28,159.924,165.23,10760200],["2026-01-05",169.37,174.74,149.19,166.37,41578700],["2026-01-12",164.67,182.56,163.01,166.6,36955000],["2026-01-19",161.27,166,153.77,160.12,22902400]]}